Supporters of the Tyneside club are increasingly regarding Eddie Howe's outfit as an unreliable ally. When everything clicks, they prove to be the undisputed life of the party, unleashing breathtaking performances. However, in other matches, previously reliable individuals like Sandro Tonali and others utterly go missing.
Exacerbating these problems is a second-half strategy laced with a worrying tendency of chaos. Ahead of their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the statistics paint a sobering picture: the team has dropped thirteen vital top-flight points from leading positions this season and are yet to keep a shutout in 10 straight games in every tournament. Earning three points at their famous stadium would represent only their second league triumph on the road this season.
Conversely, a loss has only come on one occasion in their last 6 league fixtures, and although occupying a modest 11th spot, they remain a only 6 points off the coveted Champions League places. Factor in an upcoming two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a decent chance of progressing to the European Cup last 16, and it becomes easier to see the gaffer's guarded optimism.
“It's not only about problems,” stated the club's head coach. “There are strengths also. My glass is decidedly optimistic right now. I realize others might have a divergent view, but my belief is we're getting better.”
The puzzle persists: can this collection of players match – or even surpass – the successes of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Juggling a packed calendar makes this difficult.
The resulting heavy-leggedness could be the reason behind the inability to sustain a brilliant opening 45-minute performance against their London rivals, eventually letting slip a two-goal lead to tie 2-2. Similarly, it is possibly the explanation for a lackluster performance in a painful defeat to arch-rivals Sunderland, where the team seemed off the pace just days after a grueling European away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly Howe's specialty, the relentless grind of two games a week matches has severely reduced essential practice time. This impedes the squad's tactical adjustment to playing with new striker Nick Woltemade leading the line, instead of the departed their former star. While hugely gifted, the German forward has not shown the same electric breakaway speed or relentless pressing.
In fact, the side's previously effective high press has occasionally malfunctioned. Injuries to key engine Joelinton have been a factor, while expensive signings Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties adapting after their big-money transfers.
If a switch to a back three could arguably benefit the team, a worsening backline injury crisis renders that problematic. Important defenders will be unavailable for the next crucial matches, straining the team's resources.
At their high-tempo peak, they look almost unstoppable. The catch is maintaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen alternative approach of dropping deep into a deep-lying counter-attacking formation has sometimes been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match became disorganized at two-all,” conceded the coach. “But the intention was going for the victory. Our mentality is to always go out to win.”
What seems necessary is a pragmatic solution – involving better ball retention, a midfield adept of slowing the pace, and a realistic readiness to occasionally accept a point. Yet, a ambition to challenge on every competitions is testing thin player resources to their breaking point.
It may seem sacrilegious to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the current schedule congestion. With vital Champions League and Premier League matches on the agenda, the need to carefully prioritize is growing ever more apparent.
The manager acknowledged the size of the journey remaining. “When you're involved a club of this size, the demands are immense. Each game is pivotal. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have lots of work to do to transform into the consistently successful side we aspire to be. Our capacity to string together winning runs has eluded us this season.
“The objective is to attain those heights we know we're capable of. The internal belief is that the confidence to achieve it is coming back. Yet nowadays we have to prove it. It ain't all doom and gloom in this moment, but the coming period will decide a lot.”
Professional poker player and coach with over a decade of experience, specializing in tournament strategy and mental game techniques.
John Robertson
John Robertson
John Robertson
John Robertson